Hurricane Ivan
Forecast Advisory 72
000
WTNT33 KNHC 240237
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 23 2004
...LISA REMAINS A DEPRESSION...NO THREAT TO LAND...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST OR ABOUT
1200 MILES...1935 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...14.7 N... 42.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
$$
000
WTNT32 KNHC 240237
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 23 2004
...KARL BEGINNING FIRST STAGES OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 41.5 WEST OR ABOUT 785 MILES...
1265 KM... WEST OF THE AZORES.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...
48KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST THEREAFTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 430 MILES...695 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...38.7 N... 41.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 963 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 240246
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 72
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 23 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN MOVED INLAND...
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
IVAN WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5
WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A SLOW
TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF IVAN.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TODAY.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.8 N... 93.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 240248
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004
...JEANNE AIMING AT FLORIDA...A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED EARLY FRIDAY...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST ON FRIDAY MORNING. INTERESTS ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES...
630 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 966 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
