Hurricane Jeanne
Forecast Advisory 17
000
WTNT32 KNHC 172027
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
...KARL REMAINS NO THREAT TO LAND...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.4 WEST OR ABOUT 850
MILES...1365 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...13.4 N... 36.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 172049
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND HAITI IS DISCONTINUED.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS
...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND ABOUT 100 MILES... 160
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JEANNE MOVES OVER WATER.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING ALONG THE COAST
OF HISPANIOLA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO
RICE.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...20.2 N... 71.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
000
WTNT34 KWNH 172051
TCPAT4
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 62 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN TREKKING NORTHEASTWARD...VAST SWATH OF
PRECIPITATION FOLLOWING THE APPALACHIAN TRAIL...FLOODING
PASTURELANDS...RIPARIAN COMMUNITIES...AND ROADWAYS.
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF...NEW YORK...
PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY...VIRGINIA...AND
NORTH CAROLINA.
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN SPECIFICALLY ISSUED FOR THE ALABAMA
RIVER...AUGHWICK CREEK...CUMBERLAND RIVER...JUNIATA RIVER...LITTLE
JUNIATA RIVER...PIGEON RIVER...STILLWATER CREEK...TUSCARAWAS
RIVER...WILLS CREEK...AND A BEVY OF SMALL STREAMS IN NORTHWESTERN
GEORGIA.
FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...
GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY...EASTERN
OHIO...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...AND PENNSYLVANIA.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCHES FOR
MARYLAND...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...AND NORTH CAROLINA.
THE 5 PM EDT...21Z...POSITION OF THE SURFACE LOW FOR IVAN IS 36.5
NORTH LATITUDE AND 81.5 WEST LONGITUDE... OR APPROXIMATELY 100
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROANOKE...VIRGINIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 20 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...IVAN HAS BEEN
MOVING IN AN EAST-NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AT APPROXIMATELY 20 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.
SELECTED STORM 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 3 PM
EDT.
LOCATION STORM TOTAL
TENNESSEE...
GROTTO FALLS 4.16
ROAN MTN 3.36
LA FOLLETTE 2.12
FORDTOWN 2.04
EMBEREEVILLE 1.52
KENTUCKY...
PRINCESS 5.03
OLDTOWN 4.72
OLYMPIA SPRINGS 4.68
CANNONSBURG 3.68
BEECHBURG 3.60
OHIO...
GREENFIELD 5.99
SHARON 5.40
COOLVILLE 5.28
TRIMBLE 5.22
VINTON 4.79
NEW ATHENS 4.39
LEWISVILLE 3.95
WEST VIRGINIA...
ELLAMORE 12.40
ADOLF 9.90
VALLEY HEAD 8.90
WILLIAMSON 5.95
BELINGTON 5.20
LOMI 2.28
VIRGINIA...
DUNGANNON 3.83
WYTHEVILLE 2.24
MONTCLAIR 1.76
NORTH CAROLINA...
BEAR CREEK 9.33
JONAS RIDGE 8.55
HIGHLANDS 7.52
CONNESTE FALL 7.11
ARGURA 6.37
HAWK 6.24
MARSHALL 4.56
HENDERSONVILLE 4.31
PENNSYLVANIA...
HAMPTON 3.95
EAST FRANKLIN 3.00
DELMONT 2.56
DONEGAL 2.56
SENECA/OIL CITY 2.32
SABULA 2.04
CAMBRIDGE 1.83
NEW YORK...
URBANA 2.47
HOWARD 2.11
PRATTSBURG 1.32
EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ALONG THE APPALACHIAN
MOUNTAINS ESPECIALLY THROUGHOUT THE ALLEGHENY REGION.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT...21Z...POSITION...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN
IS LOCATED NEAR 36.5 NORTH LATITUDE AND 81.5 WEST LONITUDE.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONCERNING THIS STORM.
SZATANEK
$$
000
WTNT34 KWNH 172057
TCPAT4
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 62 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN TREKKING NORTHEASTWARD...VAST SWATH OF
PRECIPITATION FOLLOWING THE APPALACHIAN TRAIL...FLOODING
PASTURELANDS...RIPARIAN COMMUNITIES...AND ROADWAYS.
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF...NEW YORK...
PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY...VIRGINIA...AND
NORTH CAROLINA.
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN SPECIFICALLY ISSUED FOR THE ALABAMA
RIVER...AUGHWICK CREEK...CUMBERLAND RIVER...JUNIATA RIVER...LITTLE
JUNIATA RIVER...PIGEON RIVER...STILLWATER CREEK...TUSCARAWAS
RIVER...WILLS CREEK...AND A BEVY OF SMALL STREAMS IN NORTHWESTERN
GEORGIA.
FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...
GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY...EASTERN
OHIO...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...AND PENNSYLVANIA.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCHES FOR
MARYLAND...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...AND NORTH CAROLINA.
THE 5 PM EDT...21Z...POSITION OF THE SURFACE LOW FOR IVAN IS 36.5
NORTH LATITUDE AND 81.5 WEST LONGITUDE... OR APPROXIMATELY 100
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROANOKE...VIRGINIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 20 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...IVAN HAS BEEN
MOVING IN AN EAST-NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AT APPROXIMATELY 20 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.
SELECTED STORM 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 3 PM
EDT.
LOCATION STORM TOTAL
TENNESSEE...
GROTTO FALLS 4.16
ROAN MTN 3.36
LA FOLLETTE 2.12
FORDTOWN 2.04
EMBEREEVILLE 1.52
KENTUCKY...
PRINCESS 5.03
OLDTOWN 4.72
OLYMPIA SPRINGS 4.68
CANNONSBURG 3.68
BEECHBURG 3.60
OHIO...
GREENFIELD 5.99
SHARON 5.40
COOLVILLE 5.28
TRIMBLE 5.22
VINTON 4.79
NEW ATHENS 4.39
LEWISVILLE 3.95
WEST VIRGINIA...
ELLAMORE 12.40
ADOLF 9.90
VALLEY HEAD 8.90
WILLIAMSON 5.95
BELINGTON 5.20
LOMI 2.28
VIRGINIA...
DUNGANNON 3.83
WYTHEVILLE 2.24
MONTCLAIR 1.76
NORTH CAROLINA...
BEAR CREEK 9.33
JONAS RIDGE 8.55
HIGHLANDS 7.52
CONNESTE FALL 7.11
ARGURA 6.37
HAWK 6.24
MARSHALL 4.56
HENDERSONVILLE 4.31
PENNSYLVANIA...
HAMPTON 3.95
EAST FRANKLIN 3.00
DELMONT 2.56
DONEGAL 2.56
SENECA/OIL CITY 2.32
SABULA 2.04
CAMBRIDGE 1.83
NEW YORK...
URBANA 2.47
HOWARD 2.11
PRATTSBURG 1.32
EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ALONG THE APPALACHIAN
MOUNTAINS ESPECIALLY THROUGHOUT THE ALLEGHENY REGION.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT...21Z...POSITION...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN
IS LOCATED NEAR 36.5 NORTH LATITUDE AND 81.5 WEST LONITUDE.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONCERNING THIS STORM.
SZATANEK
$$
