Hurricane Jeanne
Forecast Advisory 18
000
WTNT32 KNHC 180246
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
...KARL STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.4 WEST OR ABOUT
900 MILES...1450 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND KARL WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 37.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 180248
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
...JEANNE UPGRADED BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...
MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND ABOUT OR ABOUT 105
MILES... 165 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
JEANNE APPEARED TO BE STATIONARY BUT IS BEGINNING TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES
... 30 KM FROM THE CENTER.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE COAST
OF HISPANIOLA AS JEANNE MOVES AWAY.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO
RICO.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...20.4 N... 72.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
