Hurricane Jeanne
Forecast Advisory 47
000
WTNT31 KNHC 250831
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY THROUGHOUT
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE
KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO EAST CAPE
SABLE...AND NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
WE ARE REMINDED THAT YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY...WILL
LAST UNTIL SUNDOWN TODAY. SOME OF YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE
WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE
LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE
HURRICANE SITUATION.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...90 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...EAST OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER THE ABACO
ISLANDS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JEANNE WILL LIKELY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER
TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE
CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON
THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA.
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 958 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 250837
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 47...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004
...CORRECTED TO ADD HEADLINE AND STORM TIDES ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST...
...JEANNE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE ABACO ISLANDS...EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY THROUGHOUT
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE
KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO EAST CAPE
SABLE...AND NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
WE ARE REMINDED THAT YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY...WILL
LAST UNTIL SUNDOWN TODAY. SOME OF YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE
WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE
LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE
HURRICANE SITUATION.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...90 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...EAST OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER THE ABACO
ISLANDS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JEANNE WILL LIKELY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER
TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE
CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON
THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA.
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 958 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT33 KNHC 250840
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 25 2004
...LISA UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1410
MILES...2270 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...15.2 N... 45.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT34 KWNH 250847
TCPAT4
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 77 FOR REMNANT LOW OF IVAN
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 AM CDT SAT SEP 25 2004
...THE REMNANT LOW OF IVAN HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER
DISCERNABLE IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...
FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN LOUISIANA AND EASTERN
TEXAS.
SELECTED STORM 42 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 AM CDT
SATURDAY.
LOCATION 42 HOUR TOTAL
LOUISIANA...
SHREVPORT 3.14
BARKSDALE AFB 2.66
FORT POLK 2.61
NEW IBERIA 1.39
LAFAYETTE 1.20
LAKE CHARLES 1.16
ENGLAND AFB 0.79
SALT POINT 0.51
TEXAS...
LUFKIN 3.37
LONGVIEW 1.13
BEAUMONT 1.05
NACOGOCHES 0.75
UNOFFICIAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS IN WESTERN
LOUISIANA AND EASTERN TEXAS INDICATE THAT UP TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN
HAS FALLEN IN ISOLATED AREAS MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE REMNANT
LOW SINCE 7 AM CDT FRIDAY.
WHILE THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE THERE IS
STILL A THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE MIDDLE TO UPPER COAST OF
TEXAS.
ADDITIONAL MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH
SATURDAY.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE REMNANT LOW OF IVAN. REFER TO STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING
THIS STORM.
HALBACH
$$
