Hurricane Jeanne

Forecast Advisory 56

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 271443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

...JEANNE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...LIKELY TO BECOME A DEPRESSION IN
A FEW HOURS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ANCLOTE KEY
TO APALACHICOLA FLORIDA IS DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ALBANY GEORGIA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH JEANNE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM EXTREME EASTERN GEORGIA
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT.

THE NEXT REGULAR PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$



000
WTNT33 KNHC 271453
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 27 2004

...LISA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND MOVES NORTH-NORTHWEST...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 46.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1040
MILES...1675 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ... 11
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...20.8 N... 46.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER SISKO/PASCH


$$