Hurricane Karl

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT31 KNHC 190839
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

...JEANNE MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS PLANS TO DISCONTINUE ALL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS EFFECTIVE AT 6 AM EDT...1000Z.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES... 220 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN SALVADOR.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM...TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...23.2 N... 72.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


000
WTNT32 KNHC 190841
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 19 2004

...KARL CHURNING THE WATERS OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 42.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1210
MILES...1945 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND
COULD OCCUR WITH KARL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...16.3 N... 42.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$