Hurricane Karl
Forecast Advisory 18
000
WTNT32 KNHC 210242
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004
...KARL RE-STRENGTHENS TO CATEGORY 4 STATUS...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.4 WEST OR ABOUT 950
MILES...1530 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH THEREAFTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KARL IS A MAJOR CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AND SOME FLUCTUATIONS
IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 938 MB...27.70 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.1 N... 47.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 938 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER BERG/JARVINEN
$$
000
WTNT33 KNHC 210242
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004
...LISA MOVING WEST...STRUGGLING FROM KARLS OUTFLOW...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 37.9 WEST OR ABOUT 940
MILES...1515 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS THE OUTFLOW FROM KARL CREATES SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 37.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 210244
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004
...JEANNE DRIFTING EASTWARD...NO THREAT TO LAND...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST OR ABOUT 405
MILES... 655 KM... EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.
JEANNE IS BEGINNING TO SLOW DOWN AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR
2 MPH ... 4 KM/HR. THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING VERY WEAK STEERING
CURRENTS AND WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO MEANDER AROUND FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 70.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
