Hurricane Karl

Forecast Advisory 19



000
WTNT32 KNHC 210826
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KARL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...NO
THREAT TO LAND...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1025
MILES...1650 KM... EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KARL IS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...20.1 N... 47.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


000
WTNT31 KNHC 210831
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

...JEANNE STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...NO
IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445
MILES... 715 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE
BAHAMAS.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. STEERING
CURRENT ARE WEAKENING...AND JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD OR SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS
FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...27.6 N... 70.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 210832
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

...SMALL IN SIZE LISA MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1005
MILES...1615 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.0 N... 38.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 210833
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 8...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

...CORRECTED INITIAL MOTION TO WEST...

...SMALL IN SIZE LISA MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1005
MILES...1615 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.0 N... 38.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$