Hurricane Karl
Forecast Advisory 20
000
WTNT32 KNHC 211425
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004
...KARL NO THREAT TO LAND...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1005
MILES...1620 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125
MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENIN IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...21.4 N... 48.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 211429
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004
...JEANNE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND REMAINS NO IMMEDIATE
THREAT TO ANY LAND AREAS...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 485
MILES... 785 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...27.5 N... 69.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT33 KNHC 211430
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004
...SMALL LISA STRENGTHENS OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1055
MILES...1695 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE ENXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DUE TO THE SMALL SIZE OF LISA...SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 39.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
