Hurricane Lisa
Forecast Advisory 25
000
WTNT33 KNHC 251445
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 25 2004
...LISA MOVING NORTHWEST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 45.6 WEST OR ABOUT
1435 MILES...2310 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...15.9 N... 45.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 251457
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004
...JEANNE BECOMES A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...BATTERING THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 11 AM EDT....1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA ARE REVISED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE
SUWANEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM ENGLEWOOD TO
THE SUWANEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNE RIVER
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
AND FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST JUST TO THE WEST OF
MARSH HARBOR ON THE ABACO ISLAND OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM...
EAST OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT
155 MILES...250 KM...EAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL CONTINUE NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
JEANNE HAS BECOME A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115
MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS IS THE SIXTH MAJOR
HURRICANE OF THE 2004 HURRICANE SEASON. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. STRONGER
WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE
BUILDINGS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM....MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE
CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON
THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLE REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...26.6 N... 77.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
