Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 31



000
WTNT31 KNHC 270236
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 54
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LASHING THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST WEST OF APALACHICOLA AND SOUTH OF ANCLOTE KEY HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST
FROM NORTH OF COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...AND
ON THE GULF COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GAINESVILLE FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE SHOULD MOVE INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
JEANNE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...THE FOLLOWING WIND GUSTS HAVE
OCCURRED ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA...69 MPH AT ST. AUGUSTINE
C-MAN STATION...60 MPH AT KEATON BEACH...59 MPH AT CROSS CITY...58
MPH AT THE FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM TOWER IN GAINESVILLE
...56 MPH AT THE MAYPORT NAVAL BASE AND ST. AUGUSTINE AIRPORT...
53 MPH AT THE JACKSONVILLE NAVAL AIR STATION. ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN GEORGIA...A GUST TO 52 MPH WAS REPORTED AT VALDOSTA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND
HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. TIDES COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING
OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED
AREA ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.9 N... 82.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT31 KNHC 270242
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 54...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

CORRECTED RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT SECTIONS

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LASHING THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST WEST OF APALACHICOLA AND SOUTH OF ANCLOTE KEY HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST
FROM NORTH OF COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...AND
ON THE GULF COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GAINESVILLE FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE SHOULD MOVE INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
JEANNE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...THE FOLLOWING WIND GUSTS HAVE
OCCURRED ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA...69 MPH AT ST. AUGUSTINE
C-MAN STATION...60 MPH AT KEATON BEACH...59 MPH AT CROSS CITY...58
MPH AT THE FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM TOWER IN GAINESVILLE
...56 MPH AT THE MAYPORT NAVAL BASE AND ST. AUGUSTINE AIRPORT...
53 MPH AT THE JACKSONVILLE NAVAL AIR STATION. ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN GEORGIA...A GUST TO 52 MPH WAS REPORTED AT VALDOSTA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND
HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. TIDES COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING
OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED
AREA ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...
EASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY. DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN GEORGIA...MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.9 N... 82.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 270259
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 26 2004

...LISA CREEPING NORTHWARD OVER OPEN WATERS...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1045
MILES...1680 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. A MOVEMENT
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER PACE IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.7 N... 46.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART

$$