Hurricane Adrian

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 190227
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
0300Z THU MAY 19 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
COAST OF EL SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA AND THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...
INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 92.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 92.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 92.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.9N 91.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.1N 89.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.3N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.8N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 23.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 26.0N 68.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 92.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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