Hurricane Adrian

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 190838
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
0900Z THU MAY 19 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA AND THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 91.6W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 91.6W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 91.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.2N 90.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.2N 89.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.5N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.0N 85.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.0N 74.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 27.5N 66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 91.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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