Tropical Storm Alpha
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT25 KNHC 230821
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005
0900Z SUN OCT 23 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINES
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 71.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 71.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 70.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.1N 72.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.3N 73.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.0N 73.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 71.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 230831
TCMAT4
HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
0900Z SUN OCT 23 2005
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS REPLACED BY A HURRICANE
WARNING NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE. A HURRICANE WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z....THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS REPLACED BY A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO PUNTA
GRUESA ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY
ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF
SAN FELIPE TO PROGRESO.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 86.6W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 300SE 125SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 86.6W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 86.8W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.0N 85.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.7N 83.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.4N 79.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.5N 74.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 43.0N 66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 47.5N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 49.0N 49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 86.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 230831
TCMAT4
HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
0900Z SUN OCT 23 2005
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS REPLACED BY A HURRICANE
WARNING NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE. A HURRICANE WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z....THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS REPLACED BY A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO PUNTA
GRUESA ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY
ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF
SAN FELIPE TO PROGRESO.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 86.6W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 300SE 125SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 86.6W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 86.8W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.0N 85.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.7N 83.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.4N 79.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.5N 74.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 43.0N 66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 47.5N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 49.0N 49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 86.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
