Tropical Storm Alpha
Forecast Advisory 6
000
WTNT25 KNHC 232041
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005
2100Z SUN OCT 23 2005
AT 5 AM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 72.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 72.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 72.7W
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.8N 73.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.5N 71.0W...BECOMING ABSORBED BY WILMA
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 72.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT25 KNHC 232052
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005
2100Z SUN OCT 23 2005
... IT IS 5 PM IN THE WARNING SECTION...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 72.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 72.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 72.7W
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.8N 73.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.5N 71.0W...BECOMING ABSORBED BY WILMA
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 72.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 232053
TCMAT4
HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
2100Z SUN OCT 23 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 84.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 65NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 175SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 84.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 85.4W
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.8N 83.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.6N 79.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 30NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 200SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.2N 74.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 225SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 46.5N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 50.0N 42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 84.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
000
WTNT24 KNHC 232053
TCMAT4
HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
2100Z SUN OCT 23 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 84.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 65NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 175SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 84.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 85.4W
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.8N 83.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.6N 79.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 30NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 200SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.2N 74.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 225SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 46.5N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 50.0N 42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 84.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
FORECASTER KNABB
$$