Tropical Storm Beatriz

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 212031
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022005
2100Z TUE JUN 21 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 102.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 102.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 101.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.0N 103.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.5N 105.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.2N 107.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 20SE 20SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N 119.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 102.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN


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