Tropical Storm Beatriz

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 220831
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022005
0900Z WED JUN 22 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.9W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.9W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 104.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 119.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 104.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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