Tropical Storm Beatriz

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 221451
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022005
1500Z WED JUN 22 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 30SE 30SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 105.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 50SE 50SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.8N 109.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 50SE 50SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.3N 111.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 60SE 60SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.7N 112.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 60SE 60SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N 120.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 105.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN


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