Tropical Storm Calvin

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 262030
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032005
2100Z SUN JUN 26 2005

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 98.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 98.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 98.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.4N 99.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.4N 101.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.1N 103.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.6N 105.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 98.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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