Hurricane Cindy

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 032038
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005
2100Z SUN JUL 03 2005

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 87.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 87.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 86.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 89.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.9N 91.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.7N 92.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 95.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 30.5N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N 94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 87.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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