Hurricane Cindy

Forecast Advisory 2

---

000
WTNT23 KNHC 040234
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005
0300Z MON JUL 04 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL...
INCLUDING THE BANCO CHINCORRO ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 87.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 87.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 87.2W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.7N 88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.1N 90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.9N 91.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 25SW 65NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N 93.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.5N 94.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 31.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 33.0N 91.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 87.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$