Hurricane Cindy

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 041442
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005
1500Z MON JUL 04 2005

INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 89.2W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 89.2W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 88.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.9N 90.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N 91.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 25SW 65NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.7N 93.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 25SW 65NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.5N 93.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.0N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 89.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 89.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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