Hurricane Cindy

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 042036
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005
2100Z MON JUL 04 2005

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LOUISIANA COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO SABINE
PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 89.2W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 89.2W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 89.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.2N 90.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.5N 91.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.4N 91.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.2N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 32.5N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 34.0N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 35.0N 87.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 89.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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