Hurricane Cindy

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT23 KNHC 050845
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005
0900Z TUE JUL 05 2005

AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO
PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM EAST OF PASCAGOULA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 90.4W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 90.4W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 90.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.3N 90.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.3N 90.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 31.0N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 32.5N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 34.9N 85.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 37.2N 82.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 40.1N 78.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 90.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$


000
WTNT24 KNHC 050851
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0900Z TUE JUL 05 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF HISPANIOLA LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 64.4W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 64.4W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 63.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.2N 66.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 79.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 82.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 25.0N 84.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 64.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$