Hurricane Dennis

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT23 KNHC 060225
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005
0300Z WED JUL 06 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 90.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 90.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 90.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.4N 89.3W...NEAR MISSISSIPPI COAST
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 32.1N 87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 33.7N 85.2W...INLAND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 35.1N 82.1W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 38.8N 75.2W...EXTRATROPICAL NEAR DELMARVA
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 41.5N 70.5W...EXTRATROPICAL OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 90.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT24 KNHC 060227
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z WED JUL 06 2005

AT 11 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 71.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.4N 74.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.8N 76.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 55SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.1N 78.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 82.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 85SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 69.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT24 KNHC 060227
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z WED JUL 06 2005

AT 11 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 71.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.4N 74.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.8N 76.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 55SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.1N 78.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 82.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 85SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 69.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$