Hurricane Dennis

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 070233
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z THU JUL 07 2005

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDERWESTWARD...ALL OF
JAMAICA...ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA
FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY
BE REQUIRED PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY MORNING.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 73.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.6N 75.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.2N 77.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.7N 80.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 82.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 28.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 32.0N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 73.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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