Tropical Storm Dora

Forecast Advisory 1

---

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040358
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
0400Z MON JUL 04 2005

AT 900 PM PDT...0400Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.

AT 900 PM PDT...0400Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SEL TELMO.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 99.6W AT 04/0400Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 99.6W AT 04/0400Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 99.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.4N 100.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.2N 101.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.9N 102.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.8N 103.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 106.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 110.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 99.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$