Tropical Storm Dora
Forecast Advisory 2
000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040835
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
0900Z MON JUL 04 2005
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO
ZIHUATANEJO.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO
PUNTA SEL TELMO.
WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST WEST OF
PUNTA SEL TELMO LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.0W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.0W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 99.8W
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N 100.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.8N 101.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.7N 102.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.0N 111.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 100.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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