Tropical Storm Dora

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 041434
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
1500Z MON JUL 04 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO
ZIHUATANEJO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO
PUNTA SEL TELMO.

WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST WEST OF
PUNTA SEL TELMO LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 99.4W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 99.4W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 99.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.6N 100.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.3N 101.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.1N 102.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.9N 104.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.7N 107.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.0N 111.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.5N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 99.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


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