Tropical Storm Dora

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 042033
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
2100Z MON JUL 04 2005

AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN
TELMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA
SAN TELMO.

AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 100.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 100.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 100.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.1N 102.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 104.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.3N 105.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N 113.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 118.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 100.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


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