Tropical Storm Dora

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 050229
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
0300Z TUE JUL 05 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN
TELMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF PUNTA SEL TELMO WESTWARD
TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 101.3W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 101.3W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 101.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.7N 102.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.4N 103.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 105.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 114.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.0N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 050231
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
0300Z TUE JUL 05 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN
TELMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF PUNTA SEL TELMO WESTWARD
TO MANZANILLO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 101.3W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 101.3W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 101.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.7N 102.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.4N 103.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 105.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 114.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.0N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$