Tropical Storm Dora

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 050831
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
0900Z TUE JUL 05 2005

AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA...AND HAS
DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO LA FORTUNA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 103.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 103.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 102.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 104.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.2N 106.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.7N 107.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.1N 109.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N 117.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 20.5N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 103.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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