Tropical Storm Dora

Forecast Advisory 8



000
WTPZ24 KNHC 052033
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005

AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 106.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.2N 108.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 110.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N 112.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 105.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 052052
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005
2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005

CORRECTED LAST FORECAST LINE BY ADDING 120H DISSIPATION OF DORA

AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 106.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.2N 108.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 110.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N 112.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 105.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART


$$