Hurricane Emily

Forecast Advisory 34

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 190832
TCMAT5
HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0900Z TUE JUL 19 2005

AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS MEXICO
BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 93.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......125NE 75SE 50SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 93.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 92.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.1N 95.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.5N 97.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 99.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.5N 102.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 93.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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