Hurricane Emily

Forecast Advisory 40

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 201442
TCMAT5
HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
1500Z WED JUL 20 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD TO LA CRUZ MEXICO.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTH TEXAS
COAST HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER...AND ALSO FROM SOUTH OF LA
CRUZ SOUTHWARD TO CABO ROJO MEXICO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 98.1W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 65NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 75SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 98.1W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 97.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.1N 99.4W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 35SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 25.2N 101.1W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 98.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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