Hurricane Epsilon

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT24 KNHC 300833
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
0900Z WED NOV 30 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 52.5W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 600SE 650SW 650NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 52.5W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 52.2W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 33.0N 51.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 38.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 40.5N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 52.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$

000
WTNT24 KNHC 300833
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
0900Z WED NOV 30 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 52.5W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 600SE 650SW 650NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 52.5W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 52.2W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 33.0N 51.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 38.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 40.5N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 52.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$