Hurricane Epsilon

Forecast Advisory 22



000
WTNT24 KNHC 042032
TCMAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005
2100Z SUN DEC 04 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 38.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 400SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 38.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 38.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 34.4N 36.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 34.0N 34.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.0N 33.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 32.0N 34.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N 37.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 25.0N 41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 45.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 38.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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