Tropical Storm Eugene

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 181441
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052005
1500Z MON JUL 18 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 105.6W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 105.6W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 105.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.6N 107.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 109.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.7N 111.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.7N 113.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 120.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 123.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 105.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

FORECASTER KNABB


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