Tropical Storm Eugene

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 190231
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052005
0300Z TUE JUL 19 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 105.9W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 105.9W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 105.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.8N 109.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N 111.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N 117.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 105.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


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