Tropical Storm Eugene

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 191433
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052005
1500Z TUE JUL 19 2005

AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA ON
THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF BUENAVISTA ON THE EAST COAST. THIS
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.1W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 40SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.1W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 114.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.0N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 23.0N 119.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 108.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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