Hurricane Fernanda

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 110235
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
0300Z THU AUG 11 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 120.0W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 120.0W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.6W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.0N 121.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 122.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.3N 123.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.0N 126.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 19.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 120.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


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