Hurricane Fernanda
Forecast Advisory 22
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 142028
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
2100Z SUN AUG 14 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 130.7W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 130.7W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 130.3W
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.7N 131.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.2N 133.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N 135.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N 136.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 130.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTPZ22 KNHC 142029
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
2100Z SUN AUG 14 2005
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.5W
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 115.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
