Hurricane Fernanda

Forecast Advisory 23

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150233
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
0300Z MON AUG 15 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 131.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 131.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 131.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.3N 132.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.9N 133.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.4N 135.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.1N 136.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.7N 140.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 131.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN


$$



000
WTPZ22 KNHC 150235
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
0300Z MON AUG 15 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 115.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$