Hurricane Fernanda
Forecast Advisory 24
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150831
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
0900Z MON AUG 15 2005
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 132.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 132.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 131.8W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.6N 134.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.3N 135.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.0N 137.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.2N 141.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 14.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 132.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
$$
000
WTPZ22 KNHC 150834
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
0900Z MON AUG 15 2005
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.9W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.9W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.7W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.4N 116.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.2N 117.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.7N 118.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 13.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 13.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 115.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150851
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24... CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
0900Z MON AUG 15 2005
...CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY AND MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 132.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 132.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 131.8W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.6N 134.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.3N 135.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.0N 137.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.2N 141.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 14.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 132.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
