Hurricane Fernanda

Forecast Advisory 25

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 151441
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
1500Z MON AUG 15 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 132.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 132.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 132.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.8N 133.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.4N 135.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.1N 137.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.8N 138.8W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 14.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 132.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

FORECASTER COBB/PASCH


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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 151448
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
1500Z MON AUG 15 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 116.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 116.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.7N 117.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.4N 117.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.7N 120.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 12.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 12.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$