Tropical Storm Franklin

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 212107
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062005
2100Z THU JUL 21 2005

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ELEUTHERA...NEW PROVIDENCE...BERRY
ISLANDS...ABACOS...AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 75.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 75.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 75.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 26.3N 76.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 28.5N 77.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 28.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 75.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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