Tropical Storm Franklin

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT21 KNHC 221437
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062005
1500Z FRI JUL 22 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS FOR ELEUTHERA... THE ABACOS... AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 77.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 77.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 76.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 27.7N 77.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.0N 77.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.9N 76.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.4N 74.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 55SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.3N 71.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 35SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 34.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 77.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

FORECASTER STEWART


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