Tropical Storm Gamma

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT22 KNHC 151450
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005
1500Z TUE NOV 15 2005

INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 67.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 67.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 67.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.3N 69.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.5N 71.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.7N 73.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.8N 75.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 15.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 15.5N 81.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 67.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

FORECASTER KNABB


$$