Tropical Storm Gamma

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 192031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005
2100Z SAT NOV 19 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF
HONDURAS.

AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE. ALSO AT 3 PM
CST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 85.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 85.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 85.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.8N 85.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.8N 85.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.9N 84.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.7N 83.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 35SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.0N 76.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 85.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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