Tropical Storm Greg

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 141429
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072005
1500Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 70SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 115.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141431
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062005
1500Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.0W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.0W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 129.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 130.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$